A $1.75 Trilion IPO?
Market conditions are changing and improving for IPOs
SpaceX filed paperwork to go public as early as June. If it happens, the company could debut at a valuation of $1.75 trillion, making it one of the six largest companies in the world. It would be ranked alongside Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphanet.
SpaceX is looking to raise $75 billion dollars, which would be a record. The current record holder is Saudi Aramco, which raised $29 billion back in 2019. According to Morning Brew
Last year, the US IPO market raised $44 billion all together…from 202 company listings.
A significant portion of the valuation is due to Starlink, SpaceX’s satellite internet business, which is rapidly expanding global connectivity. On top of that, SpaceX recently merged with Elon Musk’s AI company, xAI, which increases its perceived value.
What is an IPO and Why Does it Matter
An IPO (Initial Public Offering) is the first time a private company sells its shares to the public on a stock exchange. The company moves from being privately owned by founders, employees, and private investors to being publicly owned through stock purchase. Early investors are who are often the people who contributed to the company in its start-up and early phases. Going public helps them recoup their investment.
For companies, IPOs provide an opportunity to
Raise capital to fund new growth
Provide liquidity to allow early investors to sell their shares and cash in some of their returns
Increase visibility and credibility of being a publicly traded firm
The Bottom Line
Companies go to market (IPO) when the stock market is strong, investor sentiment is high, valuations are favorable, and if private capital dries up. We are seeing these conditions apply right now. The IPO market has been quiet for the past several years. This move might signal to the private firms that it’s time to go public.
What does SpaceX's going public mean to you?
Where do we start?
SpaceX reported income for 2025 ≈ $15.5B of which $2B was a contract for "Golden Dome" development. (This makes me think Real Genius with Val Kilmer building chemical lasers as a spoof on Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative!)
$1.1B of NASA contracts, Starlink $12.5B, and the crown jewel Twitter/X LOST 80% of its value from the $44B alongside 40% of ad revenue. (Musk lost that case recently about companies not wanting to advertise on the platform.)
Tesla continues to lose market share yet maintains it's value because KeyMan Theory is warping the perception of product offering. Reminder, Musk is listed as a founder only because of the contractural language of his investment.
There is no world in which the Enterprise Value of SpaceX is $1.75T. But the investor class for Musk-centric vehicles is hugely irrational making decisions via First-Mover Distortions.
I saw open ai id worth about 872 Billion. No problems at all here . Laughs nervously