4 Comments
User's avatar
Lary Doe's avatar

Asking a HS student to understand how Hindsight Bias of the questioner distorts their ability to predict a future outcome is irrational. Imperfect recall distorts memory and the resulting distortion of prediction nets poor outcomes.

College degrees used to be a measure of completion as much as skill based. Plenty of people were employed in fields outside their major. Some employment was in tangent fields, say a Physics major opting to teach HS rather than work in technical field.

They tracked how weather effected applications... rained that day? less likely someone applies.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w34944

Even with the best information available, most people will make a choice based on "feels", or Kyla's "Vibes". My nephew is entering his Senior year in HS and will make a decision that I'll not understand or potentially agree with due to factors neither of us will factor in. (He's actively avoiding schools attended by one side of the family to not upset the other side that didn't attend college... hugely irrational decsion tree!)

Phillip Tussing's avatar

Maybe I am a bit of an outlier. But I absolutely chose my undergraduate degree by the extent to which it was meaningful, intellectually serious, and personally fulfilling. I studied Islam in the Department of the Study of Religion, which included courses on pilgrimage, Gnosticism, Zoroastrianism, as well as ancient and modern political philosophy, History of Art, Islamic Art, and on and on -- a wish list of the courses on the most important topics in the world. This was deliberate -- I always expected to go to graduate school. In grad school I studied the Arab World and Economics. Now I teach Economics in a VERY multi-cultural institution, and I think I have the best, most meaningful job in the world. I never really was in it for the money alone...

Abdullah Al Bahrani's avatar

I truly love your path and what you have learned.

Antowan Batts's avatar

I like the tier system and agree with it. I think education is tier 1 given the denand and burn out rate. I think math is best when pair with something else. Overall i agree with the post. Education has never been a scam it deoends on how you use it. The know how is one oart of the grander scheme.